Game-over for UK commercial real estate investment?

It's MIPIM week and whilst colleagues and contacts are wining, dining and networking on the shores of the Meditteranean, I sit here pondering whether we may be witnessing the end of the UK as an attractive place to invest in commercial real estate.  With headlines such as:

"James Dyson calls for looser employment laws and shorter leases"

it is easy to see that the established UK form of investment lease is under threat.  It is a threat from within and without.  The question is whether this threat is such that it could ultimately destroy the attractive nature of the UK as a place to invest in real property?
In order to understand the threat one must first understand some of things that make the UK such an attractive place to invest in commercial real estate assets.  A non-exhaustive list of the attractions are:

• Long lease terms - historically leases have been for long terms certainly in excess of 10 years and often as long as 25 years or more. This creates long term secure income.
• Landlord friendly law - the concepts of privity of contract and very limited tenant protection mean that once a deal has been agreed between the parties it will bind them for the term.  Again security of income.
• Full repairing and insuring terms (FRI) - in the UK the full costs of managing a property can be recovered from the tenants so the annual rent is effectively a net income save for tax.
• Upwards only rent reviews - apart from at the end of a lease term the landlord is always guaranteed its minimum rent level. It may not go up but it can't go down.
• Quarterly rent payable in advance - a beneficial cash flow from the landlord's perspective.

Looking at the list above you might wonder what the challenges now arising are.  Certainly there is no threat of legislation.  In fact, UK landlords probably took a lot of heart from the change of mind by the Irish government not to introduce legislation imposing upwards-downwards rent reviews.  If a country in as dire property straits as Ireland cannot justify such legislation how much more so would a country such as the UK which has probably seen the worst effects pass struggle to justify such a move.  The 2003 report by De Montfort University and the BPF further cautions against such legislation.
However, there have been changes. These have been subtle and occurred over time.  The cumulative effect of the changes is potentially game-changing.  Let's consider some of those changes:

• Loss of privity of contract - this is the only legislative change aimed squarely at landlords.  The removal, in  January 1996,  of the doctrine that once a tenant signed a lease it would be bound by its terms even after an assignment was a major blow to the investment fraternity.  The risk was that the tenant would assign the lease to a lesser covenant and dilute the investment value of the asset.  Various attempts have been made to try and strengthen the landlord's hand but invariably they either have a negative effect at rent review or fall foul of the anti-avoidance measures as most famously occurred in the Good Harvest decision as approved by the Court of Appeal in the House of Fraser case.
• Shorter lease terms - over the past decade lease terms have become shorter. Tenants are less prepared to sign up to long leases form which they cannot easily extricate themselves.  Some of this is as a result of the "tenant's market" with higher levels of voids.  However SDLT has also had an impact with every additional year on the lease costing the tenant tax up-front.  If lease accounting rules do change this may add further weight to the shorter lease term argument.
• Lower recoverability and greater flexibility- landlords have become much more attuned to the needs and expectations of their tenants.  Further, under the threat of legislation a voluntary commercial lease code has been introduced.  This requires landlords to give optionality to tenants.  It requires landlords to comply with the RICS Service Charge Code.  Invariably this increases the likelihood of irrecoverable costs being incurred in respect of a property which fall to be paid by the landlord denting its income.  Gone are the days when tenants could be charged for everything under the sun including rebuilding the property.

The above are the more tangible changes that have occurred.  There are also less tangible, or at least more spontaneous or reactionary events which take place from time to time which change the playing field:

• Monthly rents - during the recent downturn there have been numerous requests and demands that landlords accept monthly rather than quarterly rent payments.  The argument from the tenant's point of view (especially in the retail sector) is that quarterly rents do not reflect the reality of business where cashflow is not quarterly.  Concessions have been given but the pressure remains for a complete change in standard to monthly.  Whether this will happen remains uncertain.
• Use of CVAs and Administration - the number of retailers failing since 2007 has continued to rise and barely a week goes by without another retailer or leisure operator announcing it is in difficulty and needs to restructure.  To date CVAs have not really been used successfully to reduce rental liabilities but it is only a matter of time before this is tried again.  Administrations are very much in vogue and, as I consider in my piece on La Senza and Blacks, the administration is used to renegotiate lease terms (and in particular rent) with landlords.

Therefore, whilst leases may contain upwards only rent reviews the certainty of maintaining that level of income remains threatened.
So, returning to my original question, is the attractiveness of the UK as a top spot for investment in real estate at serious risk?  In my view the answer remains a no despite all the issues highlighted.  There are some very good reasons why not:

• whilst there is an increase in the irrecoverable nature of some costs the fact remains that FRI leases are the norm and the vast majority of costs are recoverable resulting in the rent being a net figure
• many of the threats and issues are more as a result of the current economic climate and my expectation is that once the dark clouds disappear then "normal" market practice and attitudes will return
• part of the attractiveness of the UK is that it provides a stable political and legal framework.  For foreign investors this is a key attraction and the return generated may fluctuate but the risks do not alter much over a long period of time.

No, I think that the UK real estate market is not truly threatened by these small changes and challenges that arise from time to time.  In reality the biggest threat to the UK real estate market continues to be the ever decreasing amount of credit that is available in the market.  When the credit markets return the above will seem like a bad dream!

Setting the Landlord Free

English land law has a lot of idiosyncrasies; mainly as a result of how it has developed over many centuries. Two of these are the idea of privity of contract and privity of estate. In very simple terms these ideas mean that once you sign up to a lease (whether as landlord or tenant) you remain bound to comply with the terms of the lease even after you have disposed of your interest (either selling the reversion or assigning the lease) and that in order to ensure any new tenant would be directly liable to a landlord direct covenants with the landlord are advisable.
Now any slightly bright spark might notice that this could create a bit of a problem. For example, imagine you (A) take a new lease for 20 years of an office. After 10 years you have outgrown your offices and so you take some new offices and assign your lease to someone else (B). Seven years later that someone else goes bust. You remain liable for the rent in respect of your old premises and whilst you will have, if properly advised, received an indemnity from B since B is now bust this is of little value.
In recognition of this fact an act was passed in 1995 called the Landlord and Tenant (Covenants) Act. The first thing to note about this Act is that it only applies to leases created on or after 1 January 1996. The main effect of this Act was to make it so that Tenants were automatically released from their covenants on assignment of the lease. As a sop to the Landlord lobby a mechanism was inserted so that the landlord could keep the outgoing tenant on the hook as a guarantor of the incoming tenant but this could last for one assignment only.
In terms of Landlords being automatically released the Act did not provide for this - the logic being that leases rarely (if ever) give a tenant any control over a landlord disposing of its reversionary interest and so a tenant could find itself with a straw-man landlord failing to perform significant obligations. However the Act does provide for an ability for an outgoing Landlord to seek a release which must be given if reasonable.
Whilst at one point it was considered that as a result of the Act it was now impossible for Landlords to avoid continuing liability in advance a case in which went to the House of Lords in 2005 confirmed this was not so. In London Diocesan Fund v Avonridge Property Co. Ltd [2005] 1 WLR 3956 the House of Lords confirmed that with the correct drafting there was nothing to stop the Landlord and Tenant agreeing (as was the case before the Act) that once the Landlord has disposed of his reversion to the Lease he would not longer have liability for breaches of the landlord covenants.
Surprisingly, use of this mechanism is not automatic in the market. The most likely reason for this is that very few leases contain particularly onerous landlord covenants so the risk to the landlord of a lease coming back to haunt it is relatively remote. However where a landlord is granting a lease which does contain more onerous landlord covenants consideration should quite probably be had to including such a clause. Lawyers acting for tenants should pick up on the clause and advise their clients of its effect. I suspect most will not be bothered as many might be surprised to have learnt that without this clause they did have a claim.
Another example where this clause may be considered is where an Insolvency Practitioner is granting a lease and wants to ensure that the liability is limited to the period that the reversion remains vested in the insolvent entity.