Showing posts with label VAT. Show all posts
Showing posts with label VAT. Show all posts

Thursday, 6 January 2011

Real Estate investors and the VAT increase: a non event?

The great thing about value added tax (VAT) is that, unlike other taxes, for many involved in business the tax represents a cash flow issue as opposed to a hard cost.  The ability to offset input tax against output tax and recover your VAT means that for those providing B-2-B services the impact of the VAT rise on them and their customers is significantly more limited.
On the face of it the commercial real estate market should be similarly protected.  After all, once a property has been opted to tax the owner can charge VAT to its tenants and recover its VAT that it incurs from its suppliers.
But, as always with tax, the position is not quite so simple.
First of all it is not always possible to opt to tax and, in some cases, an option to tax can be disapplied.  Where this happens the owner of the property may not be able to recover its VAT costs relating to the building and where it has claimed it may be forced to pay the monies back to HMRC.
Secondly, there are certain classes of business that cannot recover VAT.  From the city perspective the one encountered most often is financial institutions.  This is a significant issue since for these class of tenants any VAT on the rent is a hard cost and not a mere cash flow issue.  Therefore before deciding whether to opt to tax a property (if the choice exists) it is important to consider what sort of tenant you are targeting.  In a mixed use scenario this can be quite complicated and you need to balance all the drivers before making a decision.
Another reason the VAT position will affect property is because stamp duty land tax is calculated on the VAT inclusive consideration.  So where a property is being acquired and it is not a transfer of a going concern (TOGC) SDLT will be calculated on the price plus VAT.  In that scenario the effect of the 2.5% increase in VAT is an additional SDLT liability.  In the lease context the effect is larger since you are considering the NPV of all future rental payments including the VAT element.  In both cases it does not matter that the buyer/tenant can recover the VAT.
So whilst the increase in the VAT rate on the face of it might not seem that important in the real estate context when you look at it in a bit more detail you realise that getting your VAT decisions right at the outset could have a significant effect on the financial performance of your real estate assets over the long term.

VAT Increases and Snow: The Perfect Storm

It appears that two elements in play in the last couple of months might help create an atmosphere which will result in an increase in the number of retail failures over the next year.  One of these is man made and the other a natural phenomenen.
What George Osbourne could not have contemplated at the time of the budget when he decided to increase VAT from 17.5% to 20% was that the UK was going to be hit with the worst winter for decades with much of the country practically shut down during what should have been the busiest shopping period.  Whilst the post-Christmas sales might have recouped some of the losses there is no doubting that retailers will have been hit extremely hard and the VAT increase coming immediately after this hit is likely to cause further difficulties - at Christmas people often over extend themselves but with Christmas now over people will be less likely to buy even if they did not over extend themselves.
For retailers this is very much a double blow.  It would be wrong to say that the VAT rise will stop people spending but it will limit how much they can buy and/or affect how much of the money spent goes to the retailers' bottom lines.
So, what does this mean?
Unfortunately this must increase the risk of retailers considering or being forced into restructurings.  There is already news of HMV closing 60 stores; Clinton Cards and Mothercare have issued negative profit statements with more retailers still to report.
Historically business failures tend to peak after a recession rather than during it as businesses that have used up their reserves just to survive do not return to health quickly enough to replenish those reserves in time.  The snow and VAT rise may have created the perfect storm to ensure that history repeats itself in 2011.